Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Liberty Flames v Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Liberty Flames (Local)

Prediction 78.24%1.28fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -8.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%78.30%78.29%79.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.221.221.2584.03%81.98%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 21.76%4.60fair odd
EV +0.102%
Edge +0.022%
Kelly +0.028%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.69%21.70%21.71%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.314.304.6025.00%23.20%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liberty Flames (Local): 78.24%; Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit): 21.76%. For Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.595. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.600, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.102%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.102%E +0.022%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 23:50
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.102%E +0.022%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 23:47
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.07%E -0.461%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 23:50
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.07%E -0.461%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.07%E -0.461%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.33%E -4.41%K -25.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.07%E -0.461%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 23:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.33%E -4.41%K -25.39%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.16%E -0.711%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 23:55
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.77%E -3.06%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.25%E -0.966%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 23:45
Everygame🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.77%E -3.06%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.25%E -0.966%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.25%E -0.966%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:55
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.25%E -0.966%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.86%EV -2.98%E -2.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.14%EV -5.12%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-05 22:10
Caesars🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.77%E -3.06%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -5.34%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:58
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -2.98%E -2.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -2.98%E -2.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -2.98%E -2.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 21:59
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.77%E -3.06%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.43%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.77%E -3.06%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.43%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.77%E -3.06%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.43%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:50
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.77%E -3.06%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.43%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:50
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.77%E -3.06%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.43%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.77%E -3.06%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.43%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.77%E -3.06%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.43%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:50
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.43%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 22:30
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.43%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.43%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 22:30
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.43%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.90%E -5.79%K -36.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 23:50
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -5.33%E -4.41%K -25.39%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -7.08%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 17:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.98%E -2.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 22:00
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.33%E -4.41%K -25.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 23:50
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.33%E -4.41%K -25.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 23:50
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 17:45
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 23:50
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 23:50
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.20%E -1.76%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 21:55
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 22:04
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.78%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:09
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.95%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.95%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 22:00
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.95%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.25I 80.00%NM 80.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 20.00%0.0%2026-03-05 23:55
Polymarket1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-03-05 23:55
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-03-05 23:55
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.33%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.67%2.5%2026-03-05 23:55
ProphetX1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%2.6%2026-03-05 23:55