Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lehigh Mountain Hawks v Holy Cross Crusaders

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lehigh Mountain Hawks (Local)

Prediction 68.16%1.47fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -5.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.85%68.22%68.03%70.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.381.4375.19%72.04%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit)

Prediction 31.84%3.14fair odd
EV +2.86%
Edge +0.884%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 3.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.32%31.78%31.97%34.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.993.003.2337.04%33.44%33.33%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (Local): 68.16%; Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit): 31.84%. For Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -8.67%E -6.47%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV +2.86%E +0.884%K +1.28%G +0.037%5.6%2026-03-05 19:00
Everygame🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV +0.308%E +0.098%K +0.143%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 19:09
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -1.28%E -0.414%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.28%E -0.414%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.28%E -0.414%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.28%E -0.414%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 22:10
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.28%E -0.414%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.28%E -0.414%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.28%E -0.414%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 22:10
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.28%E -0.414%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.28%E -0.414%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:55
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.28%E -0.414%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:05
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -1.28%E -0.414%K -0.612%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 19:10
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -1.28%E -0.414%K -0.612%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 19:09
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -1.28%E -0.414%K -0.612%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 19:09
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.88%E -0.943%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.88%E -0.943%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 23:55
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.22%E -2.27%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.22%E -2.27%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 18:55
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.22%E -2.27%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 21:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.22%E -2.27%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 18:54
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 18:54
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:00
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 22:09
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 22:10
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:55
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.81%EV -3.90%E -2.77%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.19%EV -5.42%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 22:10
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 23:25
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.22%E -2.27%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:00
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 00:00
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.54%E -1.77%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:59
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.22%E -2.27%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.22%E -2.27%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 23:20
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 23:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -9.88%E -3.49%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 23:59
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 00:00
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.43I 69.93%NM 70.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.92%-0.2%2026-03-05 23:59
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-03-05 23:55
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-03-05 23:55
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 68.89%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.11%7.5%2026-03-06 00:00