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Lamar Cardinals v New Orleans Privateers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lamar Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 64.93%1.54fair odd
EV +8.44%
Edge +5.05%
Kelly +12.59%
Growth +1.06%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.93%65.06%65.01%67.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.481.481.6771.94%67.50%67.57%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Orleans Privateers (Visit)
Prediction 35.07%2.85fair odd
EV -0.058%
Edge -0.020%
Kelly -0.031%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.94%34.94%34.99%42.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.662.652.8543.48%37.56%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lamar Cardinals (Local): 64.93%; New Orleans Privateers (Visit): 35.07%. For Lamar Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV +8.44%E +5.05%K +12.59%G +1.06% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -19.35%E -8.41%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 17:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -1.30%E -0.857%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -14.09%E -5.75%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.60%E -1.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.77%E -2.96%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.60%E -1.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.77%E -2.96%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.60%E -1.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.77%E -2.96%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.60%E -1.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.77%E -2.96%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.60%E -1.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.77%E -2.96%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.60%E -1.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.77%E -2.96%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.60%E -1.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.77%E -2.96%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.60%E -1.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.83%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.60%E -1.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.83%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.60%E -1.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.83%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.25%E -2.18%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 23:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.25%E -2.18%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 23:42 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.25%E -2.18%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.83%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.90%E -2.63%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.56%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.90%E -2.63%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.56%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.90%E -2.63%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.56%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.90%E -2.63%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.55%E -3.09%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 23:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.55%E -3.09%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 23:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.55%E -3.09%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 23:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.20%E -3.56%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.56%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.85%E -4.03%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -3.21%E -1.16%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.85%E -4.03%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -3.92%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.85%E -4.03%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 23:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.85%E -4.03%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.83%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.85%E -4.03%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.83%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.50%E -4.51%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.058%E -0.020%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.50%E -4.51%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.56%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 23:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.50%E -4.51%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -9.74%E -7.01%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -0.760%E -0.268%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00% | -0.1% | 2026-02-21 23:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 0.1% | 2026-02-21 23:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 23:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12% | 2.1% | 2026-02-21 23:50 |