Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 1.59
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lafayette Leopards (Local): 38.42%; American Eagles (Visit): 61.58%. For Lafayette Leopards (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.65%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +5.65%E +2.06%K +3.23%G +0.183% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -13.79%E -9.85%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +1.81%E +0.684%K +1.10%G +0.020% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -10.71%E -7.39%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.877%E -0.340%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.26%E -0.491%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.26%E -0.491%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.03%E -0.796%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.03%E -0.796%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.17%E -3.35%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.41%E -0.950%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.17%E -3.35%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.95%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.32%E -2.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.95%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 16:47 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.95%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.95%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.55%E -2.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.95%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.95%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.95%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.33%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.55%E -2.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.87%E -2.40%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.32%E -2.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.87%E -2.40%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.32%E -2.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.87%E -2.40%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.55%E -2.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.87%E -2.40%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.55%E -2.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.87%E -2.40%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.55%E -2.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.87%E -2.40%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.55%E -2.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.87%E -2.40%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.55%E -2.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.87%E -2.40%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.55%E -2.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.87%E -2.40%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.55%E -2.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.87%E -2.40%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.55%E -2.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.87%E -2.40%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.55%E -2.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.87%E -2.40%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.55%E -2.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.87%E -2.40%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.55%E -2.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -6.26%E -2.56%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -7.01%E -4.65%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -7.02%E -2.90%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.79%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.09%E -1.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.79%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.32%E -2.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.79%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.32%E -2.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 16:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.79%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.79%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 16:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.79%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -9.33%E -3.95%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -4.55%E -2.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.71%E -4.13%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.17%E -3.35%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -10.87%E -4.68%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -4.55%E -2.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-22 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.63%E -5.06%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.63%E -5.06%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 16:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.47% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.53% | -0.0% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 1.3% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.0% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.1% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40% | 3.1% | 2026-02-22 16:53 |