A Escola das Odds

Kentucky Wildcats v Vanderbilt Commodores

Início: 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Kentucky Wildcats (Local)

Previsão 51.40%1.95odd justa
EV -1.83%
Vantagem -0.960%
Kelly -2.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.45%51.24%52.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.781.841.831.9156.18%54.33%54.64%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vanderbilt Commodores (Visitante)

Previsão 48.60%2.06odd justa
EV -2.79%
Vantagem -1.40%
Kelly -2.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.72%48.55%48.76%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.951.952.0054.64%51.30%51.28%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.83%E -0.960%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.86%E -1.51%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.19%E -3.21%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:34
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.86%E -1.51%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.19%E -3.21%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:33
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.38%E -1.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 18:45
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.38%E -1.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 18:44
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:54
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:44
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 17:54
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:32
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.68%E -3.48%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 18:54
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.68%E -3.48%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 18:54
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.76%E -1.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:24
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.74%E -2.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:39
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:34
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:34
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:35
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:34
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:39
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:34
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:34
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:24
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:06
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.76%E -1.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:54
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.65%E -4.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:44
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.65%E -4.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 16:50
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.05%E -6.04%K -13.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 18:49
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.46%E -3.55%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.76%E -1.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:39
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.46%E -3.55%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 18:54
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.46%E -3.55%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.74%E -2.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.97%E -3.85%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 18:54
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 18:25
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 17:44
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.08%E -5.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.08%E -5.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 18:54
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.52%E -4.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 18:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%0.6%2026-02-28 18:49
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-02-28 18:55
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-02-28 18:54
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-02-28 18:54
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-02-28 18:44