L’École des cotes

Kentucky Wildcats v Vanderbilt Commodores

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kentucky Wildcats (Local)

Prévision 51.40%1.95cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.960%
Kelly -2.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.45%51.24%52.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.841.831.9156.18%54.33%54.64%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vanderbilt Commodores (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.60%2.06cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -2.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.72%48.55%48.76%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.951.952.0054.64%51.30%51.28%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.83%E -0.960%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.86%E -1.51%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.19%E -3.21%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:34
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.86%E -1.51%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.19%E -3.21%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:33
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.38%E -1.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 18:45
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.38%E -1.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 18:44
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:54
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:44
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 17:54
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:32
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.68%E -3.48%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 18:54
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.68%E -3.48%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 18:54
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.76%E -1.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:24
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.74%E -2.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:39
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:34
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:34
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:35
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:34
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:39
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:34
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:34
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:24
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:06
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.76%E -1.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:54
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.65%E -4.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:44
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.65%E -4.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 16:50
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.05%E -6.04%K -13.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 18:49
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.46%E -3.55%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.76%E -1.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:39
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.46%E -3.55%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 18:54
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.46%E -3.55%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.74%E -2.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.97%E -3.85%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 18:54
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 18:25
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 17:44
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.08%E -5.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.08%E -5.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 18:54
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.52%E -4.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 18:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%0.6%2026-02-28 18:49
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-02-28 18:55
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-02-28 18:54
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-02-28 18:54
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-02-28 18:44