Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.64
assuming max odds 2.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kentucky Wildcats (Local): 60.12%; Santa Clara Broncos (Visit): 39.88%. For Santa Clara Broncos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.290%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.41%E -0.860%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -8.27%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.41%E -0.860%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -8.27%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.41%E -0.860%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -8.27%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.41%E -0.860%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -8.27%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.41%E -0.860%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -8.27%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.41%E -0.860%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -8.27%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.01%E -1.23%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -3.08%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.01%E -1.23%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.01%E -1.23%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.06%E -3.98%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.01%E -1.23%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.06%E -3.98%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.01%E -1.23%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.06%E -3.98%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.08%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -9.06%E -3.98%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.28%E -0.932%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.28%E -0.932%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.28%E -0.932%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.48%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 16:13 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.48%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.68%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 16:13 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.290%E -0.116%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.27%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.27%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.290%E -0.116%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.82%E -4.40%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -7.07%E -3.03%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -7.42%E -4.82%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -5.87%E -2.49%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.02%E -5.24%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.08%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.02%E -5.24%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.27%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.02%E -5.24%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.27%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -9.23%E -6.11%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -2.68%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 2.4% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |