A Escola das Odds

Kentucky Wildcats v Florida Gators

Início: 2026-03-07 21:12 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Kentucky Wildcats (Local)

Previsão 31.69%3.16odd justa
EV +1.40%
Vantagem +0.438%
Kelly +0.636%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.82%31.75%31.66%33.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.932.853.2036.36%34.14%35.09%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Florida Gators (Visitante)

Previsão 68.31%1.46odd justa
EV -1.63%
Vantagem -1.13%
Kelly -3.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.27%68.25%68.34%70.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.411.411.4473.53%71.06%70.92%69.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +1.40%E +0.438%K +0.636%G +0.009%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 20:59
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +1.40%E +0.438%K +0.636%G +0.009%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.10%E -5.22%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:59
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.184%E -0.058%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:59
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.184%E -0.058%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:59
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.77%E -0.570%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.36%E -3.12%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 20:59
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.77%E -0.570%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.36%E -3.12%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 20:59
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -1.77%E -0.570%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.05%E -3.63%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:59
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.77%E -0.570%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:58
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.35%E -1.10%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.68%E -2.61%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 20:59
Pinnacle3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.99%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.68%E -2.61%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 20:59
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.12%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:59
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.05%E -3.63%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:59
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.05%E -3.63%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:59
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.10%E -5.22%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 20:59
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.10%E -5.22%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:59
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 20:59
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 21:00
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.41%E -4.68%K -17.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 20:59
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.63%E -1.13%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 21:05
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.63%E -1.13%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 21:04
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.63%E -1.13%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 21:04
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:05
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 20:59
TAB2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:00
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:05
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.00%E -2.11%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.00%E -2.11%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:59
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:00
SportsBet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -10.01%E -3.52%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -5.05%E -3.63%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.27%E -4.03%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.00%E -2.11%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:05
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.27%E -4.03%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.00%E -2.11%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:04
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.27%E -4.03%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.36%E -3.12%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:00
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.86%E -4.68%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.36%E -3.12%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.86%E -4.68%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.36%E -3.12%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 21:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-03-07 21:05
Novig3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%2.0%2026-03-07 21:09
BetOpenly3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%2.9%2026-03-07 21:00
ProphetX3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.3%2026-03-07 21:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.21%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.79%10.1%2026-03-07 21:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.21%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.79%10.1%2026-03-07 21:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.21%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.79%10.1%2026-03-07 21:05