L’École des cotes

Kentucky Wildcats v Florida Gators

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 21:12 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kentucky Wildcats (Local)

Prévision 31.69%3.16cote équitable
EV +1.40%
Avantage +0.438%
Kelly +0.636%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.82%31.75%31.66%33.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.932.853.2036.36%34.14%35.09%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Florida Gators (Visiteur)

Prévision 68.31%1.46cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -3.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.27%68.25%68.34%70.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.411.411.4473.53%71.06%70.92%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +1.40%E +0.438%K +0.636%G +0.009%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 20:59
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +1.40%E +0.438%K +0.636%G +0.009%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.10%E -5.22%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:59
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.184%E -0.058%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:59
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.184%E -0.058%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:59
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.77%E -0.570%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.36%E -3.12%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 20:59
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.77%E -0.570%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.36%E -3.12%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 20:59
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -1.77%E -0.570%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.05%E -3.63%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:59
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.77%E -0.570%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:58
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.35%E -1.10%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.68%E -2.61%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 20:59
Pinnacle3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.99%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.68%E -2.61%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 20:59
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.12%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:59
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.05%E -3.63%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:59
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.05%E -3.63%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:59
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.10%E -5.22%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 20:59
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.10%E -5.22%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:59
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 20:59
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 21:00
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.41%E -4.68%K -17.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 20:59
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.63%E -1.13%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 21:05
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.63%E -1.13%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 21:04
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.63%E -1.13%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 21:04
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:05
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 20:59
TAB2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:00
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:05
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.31%E -1.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.00%E -2.11%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.00%E -2.11%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:59
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:00
SportsBet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -10.01%E -3.52%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -5.05%E -3.63%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.27%E -4.03%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.00%E -2.11%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:05
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.27%E -4.03%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.00%E -2.11%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:04
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.27%E -4.03%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.36%E -3.12%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:00
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.86%E -4.68%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.36%E -3.12%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.86%E -4.68%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.36%E -3.12%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 21:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-03-07 21:05
Novig3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%2.0%2026-03-07 21:09
BetOpenly3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%2.9%2026-03-07 21:00
ProphetX3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.3%2026-03-07 21:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.21%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.79%10.1%2026-03-07 21:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.21%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.79%10.1%2026-03-07 21:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.21%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.79%10.1%2026-03-07 21:05