Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kennesaw St Owls v Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kennesaw St Owls (Local)

Prediction 70.24%1.42fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -4.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.89%70.34%70.24%72.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.20%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 29.76%3.36fair odd
EV +4.15%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.66%
Growth +0.069%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.23%29.66%29.76%31.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.193.203.5033.33%31.32%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kennesaw St Owls (Local): 70.24%; Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit): 29.76%. For Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.98%E -6.09%K -25.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +4.15%E +1.19%K +1.66%G +0.069%4.9%2026-02-21 15:50
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.68%E -6.68%K -28.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.17%E +0.346%K +0.490%G +0.006%6.3%2026-02-21 15:49
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -7.98%E -6.09%K -25.75%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV +0.580%E +0.172%K +0.244%G +0.001%5.9%2026-02-21 19:00
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.80%E -0.546%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 20:31
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -2.10%E -0.638%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 19:15
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.36%E -1.70%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-21 14:15
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:15
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 15:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 13:59
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -3.07%E -2.22%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -3.88%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 15:45
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -4.18%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 15:49
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 15:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:34
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:34
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.07%E -2.22%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -5.07%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 15:48
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.07%E -2.22%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -5.07%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 15:49
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 19:05
Fliff🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.28%E -5.51%K -22.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -7.16%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.66%E -1.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 20:00
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.07%E -2.22%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:15
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 20:34
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 19:25
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:45
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 71.54%3.52I 28.41%NM 28.46%-0.2%2026-02-21 19:20
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-02-21 20:55
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.86%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.14%1.5%2026-02-21 21:40
ProphetX1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-02-21 21:55
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-02-21 21:45