Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas St Wildcats v West Virginia Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas St Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 37.31%2.68fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.548%
Kelly +0.867%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.04%37.31%37.14%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.522.502.7243.48%39.65%40.00%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 62.69%1.60fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%62.69%62.86%64.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.5769.44%65.46%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas St Wildcats (Local): 37.31%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 62.69%. For Kansas St Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV +1.49%E +0.548%K +0.867%G +0.013%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -7.22%E -4.88%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV +0.372%E +0.138%K +0.220%G +0.001%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -4.72%E -3.10%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV +0.372%E +0.138%K +0.220%G +0.001%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -4.72%E -3.10%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 00:50
BetUS🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -0.374%E -0.140%K -0.224%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -5.34%E -3.54%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 00:09
SportsBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.04%EV -0.374%E -0.140%K -0.224%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.96%EV -9.73%E -6.76%K -22.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 00:44
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.12%E -0.423%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.34%E -3.54%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 00:05
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -2.24%E -0.855%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -9.10%E -6.28%K -20.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 23:50
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.21%E -1.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-03 23:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 00:10
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 00:10
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.72%E -3.10%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:55
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.73%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.21%E -1.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 00:07
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.84%E -1.83%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 00:20
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.72%E -3.10%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 00:10
888sport🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.85%E -5.34%K -16.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.21%E -1.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 00:50
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.21%E -1.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 00:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.84%E -1.83%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.84%E -1.83%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 00:50
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.84%E -1.83%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 00:50
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.84%E -1.83%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 00:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.84%E -1.83%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 00:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.84%E -1.83%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 00:50
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.84%E -1.83%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 00:50
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:10
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:55
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -7.46%E -3.01%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -7.46%E -3.01%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.34%E -3.54%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 00:10
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.58%E -3.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.58%E -1.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 00:35
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.58%E -3.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.84%E -1.83%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:05
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.58%E -3.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.72%E -3.10%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 00:44
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.58%E -3.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 00:10
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -10.45%E -4.35%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -1.58%E -1.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -10.45%E -4.35%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -1.58%E -1.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:35
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.45%E -4.35%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.72%E -3.10%K -9.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 00:45
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.45%E -4.35%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.72%E -3.10%K -9.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 00:45
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -14.18%E -6.17%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -14.18%E -6.17%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 00:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.91I 34.36%NM 34.31%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.69%0.2%2026-03-04 00:44
ProphetX2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-03-04 00:10
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-03-04 00:05
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Novig2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%1.8%2026-03-04 00:50