L’École des cotes

Kansas St Wildcats v TCU Horned Frogs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 23:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kansas St Wildcats (Local)

Prévision 41.13%2.43cote équitable
EV +0.766%
Avantage +0.313%
Kelly +0.528%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.58%41.34%40.95%45.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.282.302.4550.00%43.93%43.48%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

TCU Horned Frogs (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.87%1.70cote équitable
EV +2.44%
Avantage +1.40%
Kelly +3.29%
Croissance +0.080%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.09%58.66%59.05%61.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.611.601.7465.79%62.23%62.70%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -14.86%E -7.18%K -13.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV +2.44%E +1.40%K +3.29%G +0.080%5.8%2026-02-28 23:34
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -14.86%E -7.18%K -13.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV +2.44%E +1.40%K +3.29%G +0.080%5.8%2026-02-28 23:34
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -15.69%E -7.65%K -14.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +2.44%E +1.40%K +3.29%G +0.080%6.3%2026-02-28 23:34
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -15.69%E -7.65%K -14.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV +1.26%E +0.731%K +1.75%G +0.022%6.9%2026-02-28 23:34
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -16.92%E -8.38%K -16.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV +0.081%E +0.047%K +0.115%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:34
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -16.92%E -8.38%K -16.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV +0.081%E +0.047%K +0.115%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:34
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.508%E -0.301%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -17.74%E -8.87%K -17.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -1.10%E -0.653%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 23:34
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.86%E -1.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 23:34
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 23:34
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.29%E -0.538%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 23:32
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.29%E -0.538%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 23:32
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.29%E -0.538%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 23:29
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.11%E -0.888%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 23:29
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.94%E -1.24%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 23:29
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -7.05%E -3.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:34
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -7.87%E -3.51%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 23:34
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 23:35
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 23:34
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.76%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.81%E -3.63%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.81%E -3.63%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:31
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.81%E -3.63%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:31
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.40%E -4.02%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 23:29
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.40%E -4.02%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 23:34
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.98%E -4.42%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 23:29
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -6.98%E -4.42%K -12.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 23:34
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 23:34
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 23:31
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 23:34
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 23:34
Caesars2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +0.766%E +0.313%K +0.528%G +0.004%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -8.16%E -5.23%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 23:32
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.056%E -0.023%K -0.039%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.16%E -5.23%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 23:34
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.056%E -0.023%K -0.039%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.16%E -5.23%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 23:34
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.056%E -0.023%K -0.039%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.16%E -5.23%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 23:34
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.29%E -0.538%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.16%E -5.23%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 23:34
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.16%E -5.23%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 23:34
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.16%E -5.23%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 23:34
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.16%E -5.23%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 23:34
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -2.94%E -1.24%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -8.75%E -5.65%K -15.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 23:29
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.11%E -0.888%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.93%E -6.49%K -18.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 23:29
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.93%E -6.49%K -18.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 23:35
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.93%E -6.49%K -18.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 23:34
SportsBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -0.468%E -0.193%K -0.329%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -10.52%E -6.92%K -20.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 23:31
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%0.1%2026-02-28 23:30
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-02-28 23:34
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%3.2%2026-02-28 23:34
Novig2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%5.2%2026-02-28 23:35
ProphetX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%5.3%2026-02-28 23:35