Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.51
assuming max odds 2.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 64.96%; TCU Horned Frogs (Visit): 35.04%. For TCU Horned Frogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.854. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.850, with an expected value of -0.150%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -1.90%E -1.26%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.55%E -1.70%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 01:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -2.55%E -1.70%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -7.51%E -2.84%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.20%E -2.15%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.95%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.20%E -2.15%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.95%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.20%E -2.15%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.20%E -2.15%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.20%E -2.15%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.20%E -2.15%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.85%E -2.60%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 01:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.85%E -2.60%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.85%E -2.60%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.85%E -2.60%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 01:33 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.50%E -3.06%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -2.60%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 01:33 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.50%E -3.06%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.50%E -3.06%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.50%E -3.06%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.50%E -3.06%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.50%E -3.06%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.50%E -3.06%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.50%E -3.06%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.50%E -3.06%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.50%E -3.06%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -4.50%E -3.06%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -9.96%E -3.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.15%E -3.53%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.15%E -3.53%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.15%E -3.53%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.80%E -4.00%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.80%E -4.00%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.80%E -4.00%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.80%E -4.00%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.45%E -4.48%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.150%E -0.052%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -6.45%E -4.48%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -0.850%E -0.300%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.45%E -4.48%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.45%E -4.48%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.45%E -4.48%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.45%E -4.48%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.45%E -4.48%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.45%E -4.48%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 01:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.75%E -5.46%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.75%E -5.46%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.75%E -5.46%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.38%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.75%E -5.46%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.05%E -6.46%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 01:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23% | 0.0% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68% | 2.3% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68% | 2.3% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70% | 3.0% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70% | 3.0% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |