Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks v St. John's Red Storm

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 21:28 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks (Local)

Prediction 39.59%2.53fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.414%
Kelly -0.690%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.27%39.72%39.66%41.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.402.402.5044.64%41.67%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. John's Red Storm (Visit)

Prediction 60.41%1.66fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.936%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.49%60.28%60.34%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.571.571.6365.79%63.65%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 39.59%; St. John's Red Storm (Visit): 60.41%. For Kansas Jayhawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -1.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.03%E -0.414%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 21:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.03%E -0.414%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 21:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.03%E -0.414%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 21:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.03%E -0.414%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 21:24
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.03%E -0.414%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 21:25
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.03%E -0.414%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.03%E -0.414%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 21:24
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.03%E -0.414%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 21:24
theScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.83%E -0.737%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-22 21:25
Caesars🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.83%E -0.737%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 21:23
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.13%E -1.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-22 21:25
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 21:23
ReBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 21:13
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 21:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 21:25
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 21:24
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 21:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 21:24
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 21:25
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 21:25
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 21:24
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 21:25
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:24
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:24
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -6.58%E -2.79%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 21:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.53%E -0.936%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 21:14
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 21:24
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 21:25
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:24
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%EV -7.76%E -3.33%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 21:14
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%EV -7.76%E -3.33%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 21:14
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -8.16%E -3.52%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.13%E -1.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 21:24
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 21:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 21:24
MyBookie.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 21:23
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -10.54%E -4.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 21:25
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 21:24
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -11.33%E -5.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 21:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-03-22 21:25
BetOpenly2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-03-22 21:14
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-03-22 21:25
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-03-22 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-03-22 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-03-22 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-03-22 21:25
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-03-22 21:25
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%9.3%2026-03-22 21:25