Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.05
assuming max odds 13.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 92.02%; Kansas St Wildcats (Visit): 7.98%. For Kansas St Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.52. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.80%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +3.80%E +0.292%K +0.316%G +0.012% | 2.9% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +3.80%E +0.292%K +0.316%G +0.012% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +3.80%E +0.292%K +0.316%G +0.012% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.13%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.80%E +0.292%K +0.316%G +0.012% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.13%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.80%E +0.292%K +0.316%G +0.012% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.59%G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV +1.80%E +0.141%K +0.153%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 18:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -0.195%E -0.016%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.19%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 12.40I 8.06%NM 7.81%EV -0.994%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.24%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.59%G +0.000% | 12.36I 8.09%NM 7.76%EV -1.31%E -0.106%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.24%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.59%G +0.000% | 12.36I 8.09%NM 7.76%EV -1.31%E -0.106%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 19:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.13%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -4.19%E -0.349%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -7.06%E -6.99%K -706.42%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -4.19%E -0.349%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.59%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -10.18%E -0.905%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -12.17%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 19:07 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -12.17%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.17%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 18:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.10%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.59%G +0.000% | 10.65I 9.39%NM 8.90%EV -14.97%E -1.41%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -16.16%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -16.16%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -16.16%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -16.16%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -16.16%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -16.16%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -16.16%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -16.16%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -16.16%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -16.16%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -16.16%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.59%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -16.16%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 19:07 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.59%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -16.16%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 19:07 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.16%E -2.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.16%E -2.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.16%E -2.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.16%E -2.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.16%E -2.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.16%E -2.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:07 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.16%E -2.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.16%E -2.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.16%E -2.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.16%E -2.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.16%E -2.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -28.14%E -3.13%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 18:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.96% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.04% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 18:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 59.52% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 40.48% | 64.7% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 59.52% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 40.48% | 64.7% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 59.76% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 40.24% | 65.7% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |