Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks v Cincinnati Bearcats

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks (Local)

Prediction 79.27%1.26fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -7.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.17%79.20%79.24%81.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.201.2486.21%83.25%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit)

Prediction 20.73%4.82fair odd
EV +6.14%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.092%

assuming max odds 5.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.86%20.80%20.76%23.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.494.405.1225.64%22.26%22.73%19.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 79.27%; Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit): 20.73%. For Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.82. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.14%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.84%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.86%EV +6.14%E +1.20%K +1.49%G +0.092%3.6%2026-02-21 17:10
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.84%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV +4.69%E +0.929%K +1.16%G +0.054%3.8%2026-02-21 17:50
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +3.65%E +0.731%K +0.913%G +0.033%4.0%2026-02-21 17:51
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +3.65%E +0.731%K +0.913%G +0.033%4.0%2026-02-21 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +3.65%E +0.731%K +0.913%G +0.033%4.0%2026-02-21 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +1.58%E +0.323%K +0.405%G +0.006%4.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.46%E -5.48%K -35.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +1.58%E +0.323%K +0.405%G +0.006%5.2%2026-02-21 17:53
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -8.05%E -6.94%K -50.30%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV +0.544%E +0.112%K +0.141%G +0.001%6.8%2026-02-21 17:25
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.88%E -4.06%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.492%E -0.103%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.88%E -4.06%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.53%E -0.322%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.88%E -4.06%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.53%E -0.322%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -7.25%E -6.20%K -42.68%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -3.60%E -0.775%K -0.987%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 17:00
Caesars🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.08%E -3.38%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.64%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 17:53
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.88%E -4.06%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.64%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.88%E -4.06%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.64%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.88%E -4.06%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.64%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 17:55
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.88%E -4.06%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.64%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 17:50
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.88%E -4.06%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.71%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:55
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.25%E -6.20%K -42.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.71%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 17:55
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -6.46%E -5.48%K -35.90%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -7.54%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 16:55
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.46%E -5.48%K -35.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.78%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.46%E -5.48%K -35.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.78%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.08%E -3.38%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.82%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.08%E -3.38%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.82%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.08%E -3.38%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.82%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.08%E -3.38%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.82%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:50
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.08%E -3.38%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.82%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.08%E -3.38%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.82%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:50
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.08%E -3.38%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.82%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -7.25%E -6.20%K -42.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -10.24%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 17:54
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.08%E -3.38%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -10.86%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:55
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.08%E -3.38%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -10.86%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.08%E -3.38%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -10.86%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.08%E -3.38%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -10.86%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:50
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -10.86%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -1.71%E -1.38%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -12.93%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -1.71%E -1.38%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -15.00%E -3.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 17:55
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -1.71%E -1.38%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -15.00%E -3.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 17:55
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -1.71%E -1.38%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -15.00%E -3.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.00%EV -4.08%E -3.38%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -16.04%E -3.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:50
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -3.29%E -2.70%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -19.15%E -4.91%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -3.29%E -2.70%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -19.15%E -4.91%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.21I 82.64%NM 82.79%5.82I 17.18%NM 17.21%-0.2%2026-02-21 17:55
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-02-21 17:55
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 80.76%5.08I 19.69%NM 19.24%2.3%2026-02-21 17:55
ProphetX1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%2.6%2026-02-21 17:50