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Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

James Madison Dukes v Mercyhurst Lakers

2026-11-15 21:00 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

James Madison Dukes (Local)

Prediction 89.29%1.12fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -3.31%
Kelly -44.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.62%89.29%89.29%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.071.071.0894.34%93.46%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mercyhurst Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 10.71%9.33fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -0.446%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.71%10.71%10.71%12.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.258.259.0013.33%12.12%12.12%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: James Madison Dukes (Local): 89.29%; Mercyhurst Lakers (Visit): 10.71%. For James Madison Dukes (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.12. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.08, with an expected value of -3.57%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.57%E -3.31%K -44.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -3.57%E -0.397%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-14 21:35
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.36%E -5.05%K -89.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -19.64%E -2.62%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-14 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.12I 89.29%NM 89.03%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.97%0.3%2026-11-14 22:45
ProphetX◎1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%4.7%2026-11-15 00:45
Polymarket◎1.09I 91.74%NM 86.76%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.24%5.7%2026-11-15 00:45

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