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James Madison Dukes v Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
James Madison Dukes (Local)
Prediction 70.75%1.41fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -10.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.72%70.85%70.82%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.341.3676.92%74.77%74.63%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit)
Prediction 29.25%3.42fair odd
EV -0.560%
Edge -0.165%
Kelly -0.233%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%29.15%29.18%30.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.043.283.303.4032.89%30.53%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: James Madison Dukes (Local): 70.75%; Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit): 29.25%. For Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.560%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -0.560%E -0.165%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 22:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -4.07%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.46%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.54%EV -1.14%E -0.339%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -4.07%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 22:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.90%E -4.44%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.560%E -0.165%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.90%E -4.44%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.560%E -0.165%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.90%E -4.44%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 19:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.90%E -4.44%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.90%E -4.44%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.90%E -4.44%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.90%E -4.44%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.90%E -4.44%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.90%E -4.44%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.28%EV -11.09%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.02%E -6.17%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.02%E -6.17%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.02%E -6.17%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 19:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.40% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.60% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10% | 2.3% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 22:55 |