Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

James Madison Dukes v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

James Madison Dukes (Local)

Prediction 70.04%1.43fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -6.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.76%70.00%70.11%70.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.3975.76%73.64%73.53%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit)

Prediction 29.96%3.34fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.810%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.32%30.00%29.89%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.133.153.2534.48%31.94%31.75%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: James Madison Dukes (Local): 70.04%; Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit): 29.96%. For Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -2.63%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.64%E -1.90%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -2.63%E -0.810%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-28 00:29
Everygame🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -2.64%E -1.90%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 00:34
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.34%E -2.42%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -4.43%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 00:54
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.34%E -2.42%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -4.73%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 00:29
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.34%E -2.42%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 00:29
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.34%E -2.42%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 00:31
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.34%E -2.42%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 00:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.34%E -2.42%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 00:27
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.34%E -2.42%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 00:34
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.34%E -2.42%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.12%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 00:29
Bovada🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.04%E -2.95%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 00:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.04%E -2.95%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.04%E -2.95%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 23:49
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.04%E -2.95%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 23:49
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.63%E -0.810%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 00:49
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.63%E -0.810%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 00:34
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -3.53%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 00:29
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 00:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 23:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 00:34
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 23:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 23:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 15:39
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 23:49
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 23:49
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 00:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 00:55
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 00:54
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 00:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 23:49
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 23:49
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 23:44
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -6.14%E -4.59%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -3.23%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 00:44
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.14%E -4.59%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 00:39
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 00:49
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 00:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 00:54
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 00:34
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 00:34
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 00:34
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 00:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -7.55%E -5.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -4.73%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 00:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.46I 68.49%NM 68.40%3.16I 31.65%NM 31.60%0.1%2026-02-27 23:54
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-02-28 00:29
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-02-28 00:29
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-02-28 00:49
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 70.09%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.91%1.9%2026-02-28 00:44