Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jackson St Tigers v Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 01:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jackson St Tigers (Local)

Prediction 47.97%2.08fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%47.94%48.04%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.961.952.0252.36%51.10%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (Visit)

Prediction 52.03%1.92fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.06%51.96%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.831.831.8757.14%54.58%54.50%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jackson St Tigers (Local): 47.97%; Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (Visit): 52.03%. For Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -2.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.09%E -1.53%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.31%E -2.92%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 01:40
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.05%E -2.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.05%E -2.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 01:34
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.05%E -2.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 01:34
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.05%E -2.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.39%E -4.15%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 01:38
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.05%E -2.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 01:40
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.01%E -2.53%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 01:40
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.97%E -3.05%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.71%E -1.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.71%E -1.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 01:40
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.71%E -1.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 01:34
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.71%E -1.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 01:31
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.71%E -1.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.71%E -1.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 01:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.71%E -1.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 01:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.71%E -1.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 01:39
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 01:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 01:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 01:40
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.41%E -3.84%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 01:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -7.41%E -3.84%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.27%E -2.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 01:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -7.41%E -3.84%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.27%E -2.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 01:40
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.41%E -3.84%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 01:40
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.89%E -4.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.89%E -4.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 01:34
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.37%E -4.38%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 01:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25%0.2%2026-03-04 01:29
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-04 01:40
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-03-04 01:40
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%5.7%2026-03-04 01:40
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%5.9%2026-03-04 01:27