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Iowa State Cyclones v Texas Tech Red Raiders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iowa State Cyclones (Local)
Prediction 79.45%1.26fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -13.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%79.42%79.31%81.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.191.201.2286.96%83.98%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit)
Prediction 20.55%4.87fair odd
EV +7.88%
Edge +1.50%
Kelly +1.85%
Growth +0.146%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.22%20.58%20.69%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.664.605.2525.00%21.45%21.74%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa State Cyclones (Local): 79.45%; Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit): 20.55%. For Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.87. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -7.04%E -6.02%K -41.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +7.88%E +1.50%K +1.85%G +0.146% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 21:12 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.45%E -4.58%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +2.74%E +0.548%K +0.685%G +0.019% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.25%E -5.29%K -34.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +2.74%E +0.548%K +0.685%G +0.019% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.04%E -6.02%K -41.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.74%E +0.548%K +0.685%G +0.019% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.04%E -6.02%K -41.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.74%E +0.548%K +0.685%G +0.019% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -0.752%E -0.156%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 21:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -0.752%E -0.156%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 21:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.86%E -3.19%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 21:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.86%E -3.19%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:13 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.45%E -4.58%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.25%E -5.29%K -34.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.04%E -6.02%K -41.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -8.63%E -7.50%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -8.63%E -7.50%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -5.48%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.53%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.53%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.04%E -6.02%K -41.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.53%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 21:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.07%E -2.52%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.81%E -4.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.34% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.66% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00% | 2.5% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |