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Iowa State Cyclones v Tennessee Volunteers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iowa State Cyclones (Local)
Prediction 58.90%1.70fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.23%58.96%58.75%60.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.611.6664.94%62.03%62.11%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tennessee Volunteers (Visit)
Prediction 41.10%2.43fair odd
EV -0.533%
Edge -0.220%
Kelly -0.376%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.95%41.04%41.25%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.312.302.4246.30%43.36%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa State Cyclones (Local): 58.90%; Tennessee Volunteers (Visit): 41.10%. For Tennessee Volunteers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.42, with an expected value of -0.533%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.23%E -1.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-28 02:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.82%E -1.71%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.41%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.82%E -1.71%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.41%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.82%E -1.71%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.41%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.82%E -1.71%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 02:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.00%E -2.45%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.00%E -2.45%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.00%E -2.45%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.00%E -2.45%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.00%E -2.45%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.00%E -2.45%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.00%E -2.45%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.00%E -2.45%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.41%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 02:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -5.17%E -3.21%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -0.533%E -0.220%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.17%E -3.21%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.36%E -0.565%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.17%E -3.21%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.36%E -0.565%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 02:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.17%E -3.21%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.00%E -1.27%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.17%E -3.21%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.41%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.17%E -3.21%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.17%E -3.21%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.17%E -3.21%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-28 02:28 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.35%E -4.00%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -2.59%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.35%E -4.00%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.94%E -4.39%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.41%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 02:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.53%E -4.80%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -5.05%E -2.19%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.71%E -5.62%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.71%E -5.62%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.38%EV -9.30%E -6.04%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.22%E -5.19%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 59.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 40.28% | -1.5% | 2026-03-28 02:29 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.12% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.88% | 0.7% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08% | 6.5% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |