The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Iowa State Cyclones v Tennessee St Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 19:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa State Cyclones (Local)

Prediction 95.82%1.04fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -43.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.72%95.77%95.79%97.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.96%99.01%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee St Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 4.18%23.93fair odd
EV +42.10%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.537%

assuming max odds 34.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.86%4.23%4.21%7.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.0022.5121.0034.007.69%4.44%4.76%2.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa State Cyclones (Local): 95.82%; Tennessee St Tigers (Visit): 4.18%. For Tennessee St Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 23.93. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 34.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +42.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.18%E -4.18%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +42.10%E +1.24%K +1.28%G +0.537%2.9%2026-03-20 19:04
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -3.22%E -3.19%K -322.11%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +29.56%E +0.953%K +0.985%G +0.291%2.2%2026-03-20 19:05
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -3.22%E -3.19%K -322.11%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +29.56%E +0.953%K +0.985%G +0.291%2.2%2026-03-20 19:03
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 96.23%EV -1.30%E -1.27%K -43.49%G +0.000%26.27I 3.81%NM 3.77%EV +9.79%E +0.373%K +0.387%G +0.038%0.9%2026-03-20 18:52
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.22%E -3.19%K -322.11%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +8.66%E +0.333%K +0.346%G +0.030%2.9%2026-03-20 19:05
William Hill🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.18%E -4.18%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +8.66%E +0.333%K +0.346%G +0.030%3.8%2026-03-20 19:05
DraftKings🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.22%E -3.19%K -322.11%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -3.88%E -0.169%K -0.176%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 19:04
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.22%E -3.19%K -322.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -12.23%E -0.583%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 19:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.22%E -3.19%K -322.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -12.23%E -0.583%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 19:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.22%E -3.19%K -322.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -12.23%E -0.583%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 19:04
GTbets🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.22%E -3.19%K -322.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -12.23%E -0.583%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 19:04
BetUS🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.22%E -3.19%K -322.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -12.23%E -0.583%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 19:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.18%E -4.18%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -12.23%E -0.583%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 19:05
Coral🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.18%E -4.18%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -12.23%E -0.583%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 19:05
PlayUp🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -2.26%E -2.22%K -113.14%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -20.59%E -1.08%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -2.26%E -2.22%K -113.14%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -20.59%E -1.08%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 19:04
Coolbet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -3.22%E -3.19%K -322.11%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -31.04%E -1.88%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 19:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.01%EV -3.22%E -3.19%K -322.11%G +0.000%15.85I 6.31%NM 5.99%EV -33.76%E -2.13%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:53
Bovada🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -2.26%E -2.22%K -113.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -45.67%E -3.51%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.01I 99.01%NM 99.39%163.50I 0.61%NM 0.61%-0.4%2026-03-20 18:59
Polymarket◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.62%29.41I 3.40%NM 3.38%0.5%2026-03-20 19:05
ProphetX◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55%0.7%2026-03-20 19:05
Kalshi◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.1%2026-03-20 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.40%1.5%2026-03-20 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.40%1.5%2026-03-20 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.40%1.5%2026-03-20 19:05
Novig◎1.02I 98.04%NM 96.17%25.64I 3.90%NM 3.83%1.9%2026-03-20 19:05
Smarkets◎1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%28.01I 3.57%NM 3.48%2.6%2026-03-20 19:05