Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa State Cyclones v Memphis Tigers

2026-11-02 23:00 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

86%

14%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa State Cyclones (Local)

Prediction 85.95%1.16fair odd

EV -2.88%

Edge -2.55%

Kelly -22.14%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

84.69%85.95%85.95%87.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.101.111.111.1390.91%89.69%89.69%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 14.05%7.12fair odd

EV +5.38%

Edge +0.718%

Kelly +0.828%

Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

12.79%14.05%14.05%15.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.256.886.887.5016.00%14.55%14.55%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Iowa State Cyclones (Local): 85.95%; Memphis Tigers (Visit): 14.05%. For Memphis Tigers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.12. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.50, producing a positive expected value of +5.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.46%E -4.96%K -54.56%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +5.38%E +0.718%K +0.828%G +0.045%	4.2%	2026-10-25 22:59
DraftKings🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.88%E -2.55%K -22.14%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -12.18%E -1.95%K -2.32%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-25 23:58

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 58.33%	1.47I 68.03%NM 41.67%	63.3%	2026-10-25 23:10