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Iowa State Cyclones v Arizona St Sun Devils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iowa State Cyclones (Local)
Prediction 87.14%1.15fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -20.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.70%87.03%87.21%89.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.101.101.1294.34%91.31%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit)
Prediction 12.86%7.77fair odd
EV +15.76%
Edge +1.75%
Kelly +1.97%
Growth +0.311%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.54%12.97%12.79%16.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.997.009.0017.39%14.31%14.29%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa State Cyclones (Local): 87.14%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 12.86%. For Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.77. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.63%E -7.20%K -127.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +15.76%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.311% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +9.33%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.64%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +8.05%E +0.958%K +1.09%G +0.087% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.42%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.78%G +0.000% | 8.32I 12.02%NM 11.58%EV +7.02%E +0.843%K +0.958%G +0.067% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.42%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.78%G +0.000% | 8.32I 12.02%NM 11.58%EV +7.02%E +0.843%K +0.958%G +0.067% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.78%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV +6.76%E +0.814%K +0.926%G +0.063% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.85%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.49%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 12.15%EV +2.26%E +0.284%K +0.325%G +0.007% | 3.5% | 2026-03-11 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.78%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.316%E -0.041%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.53%E -0.471%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 15:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.53%E -0.471%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 16:13 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.53%E -0.471%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 16:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.53%E -0.471%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 16:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.53%E -0.471%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.53%E -0.471%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.471%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.471%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.53%E -0.471%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.76%E -6.32%K -96.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.53%E -0.471%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 16:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.98%EV -6.76%E -6.32%K -96.61%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.02%EV -8.03%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.45%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 7.08I 14.12%NM 13.55%EV -8.93%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 16:22 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 15:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.76%E -6.32%K -96.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.76%E -6.32%K -96.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.76%E -6.32%K -96.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.96%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 16:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.49%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -11.25%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 16:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.39%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.78%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -19.61%E -3.14%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.78%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -19.61%E -3.14%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -21.54%E -3.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -21.54%E -3.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -21.54%E -3.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -21.54%E -3.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -21.54%E -3.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -21.54%E -3.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -21.54%E -3.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 16:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -21.54%E -3.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -21.54%E -3.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.49%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -21.54%E -3.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.82%E -3.80%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.82%E -3.80%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.82%E -3.80%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.28%E -2.95%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.82%E -3.80%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 16:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -2.41%E -2.15%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -26.04%E -4.53%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 16:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-03-11 16:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-03-11 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.33% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.67% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.33% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.67% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 16:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.89% | 8.72I 11.47%NM 11.11% | 3.2% | 2026-03-11 16:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.04% | 8.77I 11.40%NM 10.96% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 16:30 |