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Iowa State Cyclones v Arizona St Sun Devils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iowa State Cyclones (Local)
Prediction 91.82%1.09fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -44.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.91%91.59%91.93%93.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.051.051.0699.01%95.56%95.24%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit)
Prediction 8.18%12.22fair odd
EV +14.58%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.164%
assuming max odds 14.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.91%8.41%8.07%11.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.3110.0014.0011.76%9.70%10.00%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa State Cyclones (Local): 91.82%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 8.18%. For Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.22. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.51%E -4.34%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +14.58%E +1.04%K +1.12%G +0.164% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.35%E -6.22%K -317.41%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.40%E +0.492%K +0.533%G +0.034% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.38%EV -4.51%E -4.34%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.62%EV +3.13%E +0.248%K +0.269%G +0.008% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.59%E -3.42%K -71.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.79%E -0.149%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 17:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.59%E -3.42%K -71.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.79%E -0.149%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 17:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.59%E -3.42%K -71.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.79%E -0.149%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 18:42 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.59%E -3.42%K -71.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.79%E -0.149%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.51%E -4.34%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.79%E -0.149%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.27%K -181.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.79%E -0.149%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.93%EV -3.59%E -3.42%K -71.88%G +0.000% | 11.96I 8.36%NM 8.07%EV -2.11%E -0.177%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.93%EV -3.59%E -3.42%K -71.88%G +0.000% | 11.96I 8.36%NM 8.07%EV -2.11%E -0.177%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.59%E -3.42%K -71.88%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -5.88%E -0.511%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -7.27%E -7.19%K -726.64%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -5.88%E -0.511%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.59%E -3.42%K -71.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.97%E -0.906%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.51%E -4.34%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.06%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.51%E -4.34%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.06%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -3.59%E -3.42%K -71.88%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV -16.11%E -1.57%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 17:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.59%E -3.42%K -71.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.15%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 17:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.59%E -3.42%K -71.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.15%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.51%E -4.34%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.15%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.51%E -4.34%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.15%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.51%E -4.34%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.15%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.35%E -6.22%K -317.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.15%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.35%E -6.22%K -317.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.15%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.35%E -6.22%K -317.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.15%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.40%EV -5.43%E -5.27%K -181.00%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.60%EV -20.61%E -2.12%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.59%E -3.42%K -71.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -22.25%E -2.34%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.51%E -4.34%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -22.25%E -2.34%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.68%E -2.52%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -26.34%E -2.93%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.68%E -2.52%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -26.34%E -2.93%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.68%E -2.52%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -26.34%E -2.93%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.68%E -2.52%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -26.34%E -2.93%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.68%E -2.52%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -26.34%E -2.93%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.68%E -2.52%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -26.34%E -2.93%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.68%E -2.52%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -26.34%E -2.93%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.68%E -2.52%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -26.34%E -2.93%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.68%E -2.52%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -26.34%E -2.93%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -2.68%E -2.52%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -30.43%E -3.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -2.68%E -2.52%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -30.43%E -3.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -2.68%E -2.52%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -30.43%E -3.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -2.68%E -2.52%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -30.43%E -3.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -2.68%E -2.52%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -30.43%E -3.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.73% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.27% | -0.3% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66% | 0.1% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.12% | 14.08I 7.10%NM 6.88% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |