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Iowa Hawkeyes v Ohio State Buckeyes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)
Prediction 70.79%1.41fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -8.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.52%70.75%70.82%72.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.331.331.3778.13%75.04%75.19%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit)
Prediction 29.21%3.42fair odd
EV +2.24%
Edge +0.641%
Kelly +0.898%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.06%29.25%29.18%31.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.963.303.303.5033.78%30.34%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Hawkeyes (Local): 70.79%; Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit): 29.21%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +2.24%E +0.641%K +0.898%G +0.020% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.394%K +0.554%G +0.008% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 01:47 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.784%E +0.227%K +0.320%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.784%E +0.227%K +0.320%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.784%E +0.227%K +0.320%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.784%E +0.227%K +0.320%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.784%E +0.227%K +0.320%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.784%E +0.227%K +0.320%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.784%E +0.227%K +0.320%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.784%E +0.227%K +0.320%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.784%E +0.227%K +0.320%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.784%E +0.227%K +0.320%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.39%E -7.34%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +0.784%E +0.227%K +0.320%G +0.003% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -0.385%E -0.113%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.677%E -0.199%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.677%E -0.199%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.677%E -0.199%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.14%E -0.638%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -4.18%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.27%E -5.55%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.02%E -2.21%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -13.53%E -4.57%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.82% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 27.18% | 0.2% | 2026-02-26 01:56 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.10% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.90% | 1.2% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |