Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 2.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iona Gaels (Local): 59.90%; Sacred Heart Pioneers (Visit): 40.10%. For Iona Gaels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.65, with an expected value of -1.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.17%E -0.710%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.97%E -1.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.97%E -1.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.96%E -3.00%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 22:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.75%E -0.713%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.75%E -0.713%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.75%E -0.713%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.75%E -0.713%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -2.95%E -1.22%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.17%E -2.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.95%E -1.22%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.17%E -2.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.17%E -2.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.76%E -3.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.17%E -2.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.76%E -3.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.76%E -3.00%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.75%E -0.713%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 22:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.76%E -3.00%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.55%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.76%E -3.00%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.75%E -1.56%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.76%E -3.00%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.75%E -1.56%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -4.76%E -3.00%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -8.96%E -3.95%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.36%E -3.39%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 22:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.75%E -1.56%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.75%E -1.56%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.76%E -3.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 22:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.76%E -3.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.81%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.81%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -8.96%E -5.89%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -3.35%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 22:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 21:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.3% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 1.5% | 2026-03-05 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 2.8% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 2.8% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 2.8% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |