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Iona Gaels v Rider Broncs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iona Gaels (Local)
Prediction 84.79%1.18fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -2.93%
Kelly -23.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.96%84.72%84.78%85.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.121.121.1490.91%89.25%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rider Broncs (Visit)
Prediction 15.21%6.57fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.170%
Kelly -0.201%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.59%15.28%15.22%17.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.146.106.5018.18%16.30%16.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iona Gaels (Local): 84.79%; Rider Broncs (Visit): 15.21%. For Rider Broncs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.50, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.34%E -2.93%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.76%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 22:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.34%E -2.93%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.52%E -2.18%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.09%EV -4.19%E -3.71%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.91%EV -1.87%E -0.289%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.19%E -3.71%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.54%E -0.558%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.19%E -3.71%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.54%E -0.558%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.19%E -3.71%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.54%E -0.558%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.19%E -3.71%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -4.15%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.19%E -3.71%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -4.91%E -0.785%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.19%E -3.71%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -4.91%E -0.785%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 20:43 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.19%E -3.71%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.71%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.19%E -3.71%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.32%E -2.97%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.11%E -0.170%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.11%E -0.170%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.11%E -0.170%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 18:53 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.11%E -0.170%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 18:58 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.63%E -0.410%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.63%E -0.410%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.63%E -0.410%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.63%E -0.410%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.63%E -0.410%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.63%E -0.410%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.63%E -0.410%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.91%E -0.785%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 22:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.91%E -0.785%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.19%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.19%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-27 22:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.19%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-27 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.71%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.71%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.71%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.71%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.71%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.71%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.04%E -4.50%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -11.76%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 22:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.89%E -5.30%K -53.53%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.11%E -0.170%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.89%E -5.30%K -53.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.71%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.89%E -5.30%K -53.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.71%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -5.89%E -5.30%K -53.53%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -10.23%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.89%E -5.30%K -53.53%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -11.76%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.89%E -5.30%K -53.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.52%E -2.18%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.89%E -5.30%K -53.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.52%E -2.18%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.89%E -5.30%K -53.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.52%E -2.18%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.89%E -5.30%K -53.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.52%E -2.18%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 19:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.74%E -6.12%K -67.36%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.19%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 22:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.89% | 7.62I 13.12%NM 13.11% | 0.1% | 2026-02-27 23:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-02-27 22:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11% | 1.2% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.63% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 14.37% | 1.6% | 2026-02-27 23:39 |