Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana St Sycamores v UIC Flames

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana St Sycamores (Local)

Prediction 37.73%2.65fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.437%
Kelly -0.707%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.63%37.75%37.76%39.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.6243.48%40.15%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UIC Flames (Visit)

Prediction 62.27%1.61fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -3.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.53%62.25%62.24%64.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.541.551.5768.97%65.14%64.52%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana St Sycamores (Local): 37.73%; UIC Flames (Visit): 62.27%. For Indiana St Sycamores (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.62, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -1.15%E -0.437%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -9.71%E -6.70%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 16:54
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.90%E -0.731%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-01 15:24
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.90%E -0.731%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 15:24
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.90%E -0.731%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.35%E -3.52%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 17:54
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.90%E -0.731%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.03%E -1.18%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 17:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.03%E -1.18%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 17:54
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.79%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 17:55
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.79%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 17:53
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.79%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.11%E -2.67%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 17:55
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.79%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.35%E -3.52%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 17:14
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.79%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.46%E -5.76%K -18.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.79%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.46%E -5.76%K -18.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 16:54
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -4.16%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.48%E -2.25%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 17:55
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.16%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.11%E -2.67%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 17:54
SportsBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -4.16%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -7.84%E -5.30%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 17:54
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.24%E -1.43%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.73%E -3.09%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 17:54
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 17:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 14:04
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 17:53
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 16:59
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 16:59
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 17:00
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 16:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 16:57
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.48%E -2.25%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.48%E -2.25%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 17:54
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.48%E -2.25%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 17:55
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 17:54
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.31%E -3.42%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.31%E -3.42%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 16:59
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.31%E -3.42%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 17:00
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.86%E -1.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -10.20%E -4.29%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.48%E -2.25%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -13.22%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 17:54
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -13.22%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62%-0.2%2026-03-01 17:55
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-03-01 16:40
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-03-01 17:50
Novig2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%1.2%2026-03-01 17:54
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%1.3%2026-03-01 17:44