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Indiana Hoosiers v Minnesota Golden Gophers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Indiana Hoosiers (Local)
Prediction 71.80%1.39fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -11.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.55%71.68%71.88%72.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.321.321.3476.92%75.63%75.76%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit)
Prediction 28.20%3.55fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.370%
Kelly -0.518%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.23%28.32%28.12%30.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.063.373.403.5032.68%29.68%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Hoosiers (Local): 71.80%; Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit): 28.20%. For Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.79%E -2.83%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.85%EV -3.79%E -2.83%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.79%E -2.83%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 23:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.79%E -2.83%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 22:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.79%E -2.83%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.79%E -2.83%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.79%E -2.83%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -3.79%E -2.83%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -13.70%E -4.48%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 23:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.51%E -3.39%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.29%E -0.370%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 23:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.51%E -3.39%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.51%E -3.39%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.51%E -3.39%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.51%E -3.39%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.51%E -3.39%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 22:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.51%E -3.39%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.51%E -3.39%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 23:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.51%E -3.39%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.51%E -3.39%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:28 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.51%E -3.39%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.51%E -3.39%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -11.17%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.23%E -3.96%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.29%E -0.370%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.23%E -3.96%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.29%E -0.370%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.23%E -3.96%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 23:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.23%E -3.96%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.23%E -3.96%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 23:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.23%E -3.96%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.23%E -3.96%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.23%E -3.96%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.23%E -3.96%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.23%E -3.96%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 23:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.23%E -3.96%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.23%E -3.96%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.94%E -4.54%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.29%E -0.370%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 17:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -6.66%E -5.12%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -2.14%E -0.617%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.66%E -5.12%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.66%E -5.12%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.66%E -5.12%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.66%E -5.12%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.66%E -5.12%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 23:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.66%E -5.12%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.66%E -5.12%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.66%E -5.12%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 0.0% | 2026-03-04 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |