A Escola das Odds

Indiana Hoosiers v Michigan St Spartans

Início: 2026-03-01 20:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Indiana Hoosiers (Local)

Previsão 40.92%2.44odd justa
EV +2.30%
Vantagem +0.920%
Kelly +1.53%
Crescimento +0.035%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.42%40.85%41.07%42.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.302.282.5046.51%43.53%43.86%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Michigan St Spartans (Visitante)

Previsão 59.08%1.69odd justa
EV -2.52%
Vantagem -1.53%
Kelly -3.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.33%59.15%58.93%61.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.561.611.621.6564.10%61.93%61.73%60.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +2.30%E +0.920%K +1.53%G +0.035%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.84%E -5.02%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 20:39
BetOnline.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -0.564%E -0.232%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 20:20
LowVig.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -0.564%E -0.232%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 20:19
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -0.564%E -0.232%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 20:25
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.79%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 20:20
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.79%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 20:19
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.79%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 20:09
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.79%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 19:10
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 20:25
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 20:40
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 20:25
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:39
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.06%E -2.18%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 19:14
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.06%E -2.18%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 20:40
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 20:20
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 18:44
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 19:59
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 20:40
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 20:40
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 20:39
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.70%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 20:00
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.70%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 20:00
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.70%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 19:59
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.70%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 19:59
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.70%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 19:59
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.70%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 19:59
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.70%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 20:00
SportsBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -7.11%E -3.13%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 20:39
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.52%E -1.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:40
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.52%E -1.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.52%E -1.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:14
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 19:59
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 20:00
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 19:59
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 19:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 18:43
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 19:14
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -8.34%E -3.72%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.75%E -3.92%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 20:00
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -9.16%E -4.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 20:39
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -9.16%E -4.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 20:39
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.98%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 20:39
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.98%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 20:24
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -12.02%E -5.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -12.02%E -5.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 20:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-01 20:25
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-01 19:29
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-01 20:39
Novig2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-03-01 20:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.8%2026-03-01 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.8%2026-03-01 20:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.8%2026-03-01 20:35
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%3.4%2026-03-01 20:39