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Incarnate Word Cardinals v Lamar Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Incarnate Word Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 51.57%1.94fair odd
EV +0.564%
Edge +0.289%
Kelly +0.593%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%51.62%51.19%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.851.851.9557.80%54.19%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lamar Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 48.43%2.06fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.591%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%48.38%48.81%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.951.932.0454.05%51.41%51.81%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Incarnate Word Cardinals (Local): 51.57%; Lamar Cardinals (Visit): 48.43%. For Incarnate Word Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.564%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +0.564%E +0.289%K +0.593%G +0.003% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -9.44%E -5.05%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 19:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.50%E -0.785%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -3.93%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.53%E -1.34%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.53%E -3.38%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.53%E -1.34%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.53%E -3.38%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.05%E -1.62%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.53%E -3.38%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 15:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.05%E -1.62%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.53%E -3.38%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.05%E -1.62%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.53%E -3.38%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 15:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.05%E -1.62%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.53%E -3.38%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.05%E -1.62%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.53%E -3.38%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.05%E -1.62%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.02%E -3.65%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 15:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.05%E -1.62%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.02%E -3.65%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 15:21 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.05%E -1.62%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.02%E -3.65%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.56%E -1.90%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.56%E -2.85%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 21:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.56%E -1.90%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.56%E -2.85%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.56%E -1.90%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.56%E -2.85%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -3.56%E -1.90%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -7.02%E -3.65%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -3.56%E -1.90%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -7.02%E -3.65%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.56%E -1.90%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.50%E -3.93%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.59%E -2.48%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.56%E -2.85%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.59%E -2.48%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.56%E -2.85%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.59%E -2.48%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.56%E -2.85%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.59%E -2.48%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.56%E -2.85%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.59%E -2.48%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.47%E -4.48%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.14%E -1.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 21:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.14%E -1.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 21:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.14%E -1.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 21:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.11%E -2.08%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.11%E -2.08%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.50%E -3.93%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 21:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.99%E -4.20%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 21:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.99%E -4.20%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 21:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.14%E -3.37%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 21:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -6.66%E -3.68%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -1.21%E -0.591%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -6.66%E -3.68%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -1.21%E -0.591%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 21:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.17%E -3.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -1.21%E -0.591%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 21:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.17%E -3.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.50%E -3.93%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.17%E -3.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.41%E -5.63%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.17%E -3.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.41%E -5.63%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -9.23%E -5.25%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -4.11%E -2.08%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 21:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -10.27%E -5.90%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -2.66%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 21:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.78%E -6.23%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.14%E -1.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 21:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 21:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 21:52 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |