Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.54
assuming max odds 2.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois St Redbirds (Local): 63.11%; Kent State Golden Flashes (Visit): 36.89%. For Kent State Golden Flashes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.44%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.64%E -8.32%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +1.44%E +0.525%K +0.825%G +0.012% | 7.8% | 2026-03-18 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -10.38%E -7.31%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -0.401%E -0.148%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-18 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.44%E -2.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.25%E -0.847%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-18 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.44%E -2.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.25%E -0.847%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-18 23:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.70%E -3.11%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.25%E -0.847%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-18 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.33%E -3.56%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.25%E -0.847%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 23:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.60%E -4.46%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.25%E -0.847%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-18 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.60%E -4.46%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.25%E -0.847%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-18 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.70%E -3.11%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.61%E -0.990%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -3.44%E -2.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.96%EV -3.72%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-18 23:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.60%E -4.46%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.09%E -1.57%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-18 23:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.81%E -1.82%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -4.46%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-18 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.23%E -4.92%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.93%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 23:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.23%E -4.92%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.93%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 23:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -2.81%E -1.82%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -7.04%E -2.79%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-18 23:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.56%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.78%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-18 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.12%E -6.33%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.78%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-18 23:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.12%E -6.33%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.78%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-18 23:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.33%E -3.56%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -8.89%E -3.60%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 23:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -4.70%E -3.11%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.31%E -5.66%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-18 23:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-03-18 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-03-18 23:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-03-18 23:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-03-18 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.7% | 2026-03-18 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.7% | 2026-03-18 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.7% | 2026-03-18 23:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80% | 4.9% | 2026-03-18 23:50 |