Language:English
Illinois Fighting Illini v Pennsylvania Quakers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)
Prediction 95.78%1.04fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -45.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
93.69%95.80%95.79%97.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.03100.00%99.04%99.01%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit)
Prediction 4.22%23.67fair odd
EV +73.21%
Edge +1.79%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +1.34%
assuming max odds 41.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.38%4.20%4.21%6.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
15.0022.9923.0041.006.67%4.35%4.35%2.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois Fighting Illini (Local): 95.78%; Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit): 4.22%. For Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 23.67. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 41.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +73.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.22%E -4.22%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +73.21%E +1.79%K +1.83%G +1.34% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 09:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -4.22%E -4.22%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +52.09%E +1.45%K +1.49%G +0.775% | 2.8% | 2026-03-19 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +30.97%E +0.999%K +1.03%G +0.320% | 2.2% | 2026-03-20 01:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +9.84%E +0.379%K +0.394%G +0.039% | 2.9% | 2026-03-16 01:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.22%E -4.22%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +9.84%E +0.379%K +0.394%G +0.039% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 01:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.00%EV -1.35%E -1.31%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 24.72I 4.05%NM 4.00%EV +4.43%E +0.179%K +0.187%G +0.008% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 01:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -2.83%E -0.123%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 21:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -2.83%E -0.123%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -2.83%E -0.123%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -2.83%E -0.123%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -2.83%E -0.123%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -2.83%E -0.123%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -2.83%E -0.123%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -2.83%E -0.123%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 21:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -2.83%E -0.123%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -2.83%E -0.123%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -2.83%E -0.123%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -2.83%E -0.123%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -2.31%E -2.26%K -115.46%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV -11.28%E -0.537%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-19 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -11.28%E -0.537%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 00:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -11.28%E -0.537%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 14:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -11.28%E -0.537%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-16 17:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -11.28%E -0.537%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-16 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -11.28%E -0.537%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-16 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.22%E -4.22%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -11.28%E -0.537%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-16 01:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.22%E -4.22%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -11.28%E -0.537%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-16 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -2.31%E -2.26%K -115.46%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -19.73%E -1.04%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-20 01:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -28.18%E -1.66%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 01:43 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.25%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 16.54I 6.05%NM 5.75%EV -30.12%E -1.82%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -30.29%E -1.84%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 23:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.27%E -3.23%K -326.70%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -36.63%E -2.44%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-16 02:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 98.48% | 66.00I 1.52%NM 1.52% | -0.4% | 2026-03-20 01:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.91% | 32.26I 3.10%NM 3.09% | 0.2% | 2026-03-20 00:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.23% | 26.32I 3.80%NM 3.77% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 01:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.1% | 2026-03-19 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.92% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.08% | 2.2% | 2026-03-20 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25% | 2.4% | 2026-03-20 01:54 |