A Escola das Odds

Illinois Fighting Illini v Oregon Ducks

Início: 2026-03-04 02:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)

Previsão 92.08%1.09odd justa
EV -3.32%
Vantagem -3.16%
Kelly -66.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
90.50%91.90%92.06%93.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.041.041.05100.00%96.53%96.15%95.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Oregon Ducks (Visitante)

Previsão 7.92%12.62odd justa
EV +10.89%
Vantagem +0.778%
Kelly +0.838%
Crescimento +0.091%

pressupondo odds máximas de 14.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.91%8.10%7.94%9.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
10.0011.4911.5014.0010.00%8.70%8.70%7.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +10.89%E +0.778%K +0.838%G +0.091%3.3%2026-03-04 00:15
BetUS1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +6.93%E +0.513%K +0.555%G +0.038%3.6%2026-03-04 00:40
GTbets1.04I 96.15%NM 92.64%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%13.10I 7.63%NM 7.36%EV +3.76%E +0.287%K +0.311%G +0.012%3.8%2026-03-04 00:10
DraftKings1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +2.97%E +0.229%K +0.248%G +0.007%3.8%2026-03-04 00:10
FanDuel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.95%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +2.97%E +0.229%K +0.248%G +0.007%4.8%2026-03-04 01:05
Bovada1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.08%E -5.96%K -303.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +2.97%E +0.229%K +0.248%G +0.007%5.7%2026-03-03 06:54
BetOnline.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 92.52%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%12.86I 7.78%NM 7.48%EV +1.86%E +0.145%K +0.157%G +0.003%3.9%2026-03-04 00:40
LowVig.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 92.52%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%12.86I 7.78%NM 7.48%EV +1.86%E +0.145%K +0.157%G +0.003%3.9%2026-03-04 00:40
Marathon Bet1.00I 100.00%NM 92.73%EV -7.92%E -7.92%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.27%EV +0.991%E +0.078%K +0.084%G +0.001%7.8%2026-03-04 01:05
theScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.95%E -0.412%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 00:15
LeoVegas1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.95%E -0.412%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 01:40
LiveScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.95%E -0.412%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 01:40
Virgin Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.95%E -0.412%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 01:40
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.95%E -0.412%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 01:40
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.95%E -0.412%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 01:40
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.95%E -0.412%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 01:40
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.95%E -0.412%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 01:40
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.95%E -0.412%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 01:39
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.95%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -4.95%E -0.412%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 15:45
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.91%E -0.775%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 01:30
Neds1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.95%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.91%E -0.775%K -0.849%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.95%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.91%E -0.775%K -0.849%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 00:10
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -10.89%E -0.968%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 01:30
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -10.89%E -0.968%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 01:30
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -10.89%E -0.968%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 01:30
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -10.89%E -0.968%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 01:30
Fliff1.02I 98.04%NM 91.58%EV -6.08%E -5.96%K -303.97%G +0.000%11.10I 9.01%NM 8.42%EV -12.08%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 01:40
Bet Right1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.87%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 01:30
Everygame1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.87%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:40
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.87%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.87%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 00:10
TAB1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.79%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:10
1xBet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.79%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 01:05
BetRivers1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.79%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 01:40
TABtouch1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.79%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 01:25
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.79%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 01:40
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.79%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.79%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 01:40
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.79%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 01:00
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.79%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 01:05
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.79%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 01:05
SportsBet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.79%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 20:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.05I 95.24%NM 95.44%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.56%-0.2%2026-03-04 01:05
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 95.24%20.83I 4.80%NM 4.76%1.0%2026-03-04 01:55
Polymarket1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-03-04 01:50
Kalshi1.04I 96.15%NM 94.13%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.87%2.2%2026-03-04 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%3.3%2026-03-04 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%3.3%2026-03-04 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%3.3%2026-03-04 01:50
ProphetX1.02I 98.04%NM 90.83%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.17%7.9%2026-03-04 01:55