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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Illinois Fighting Illini v Michigan Wolverines

开赛时间： 2026-02-28 01:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Illinois Fighting Illini (主队)

预测 45.66%2.19公平赔率
EV +0.454%
优势 +0.207%
Kelly +0.379%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
43.73%45.60%45.74%46.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.062.052.2050.00%48.45%48.78%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

Michigan Wolverines (客队)

预测 54.34%1.84公平赔率
EV -3.28%
优势 -1.84%
Kelly -4.20%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.78

博彩公司预测分布
53.33%54.40%54.26%56.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.741.741.7858.82%57.52%57.47%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Illinois Fighting Illini (主队)：45.66%；Michigan Wolverines (客队)：54.34%。 对于“Illinois Fighting Illini (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.19。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.20，对应+0.454%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.454%E +0.207%K +0.379%G +0.002%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.08%E -4.14%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 00:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.459%E -0.211%K -0.389%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.54%E -3.80%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 00:44
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.83%E -0.851%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.82%E -2.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-28 00:49
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.83%E -0.851%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 00:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.83%E -0.851%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 00:27
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.83%E -0.851%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 00:25
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.11%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.82%E -2.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 00:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.11%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.82%E -2.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 00:10
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.11%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 00:39
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.11%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 00:55
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.11%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.99%E -3.46%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.11%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.99%E -3.46%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 00:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.11%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.99%E -3.46%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 00:59
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.57%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.28%E -1.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 00:19
Bet Right🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.03%E -2.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.91%E -2.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 00:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.48%E -2.65%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.62%E -4.48%K -10.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 23:42
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.94%E -2.88%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.28%E -1.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 00:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.91%E -2.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.91%E -2.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 00:39
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.91%E -2.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 00:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 00:44
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 00:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 00:44
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 00:44
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 00:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 00:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 00:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 23:34
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 00:59
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.99%E -3.46%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -6.85%E -3.36%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 00:44
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -6.85%E -3.36%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 00:44
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -6.85%E -3.36%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 00:44
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -6.85%E -3.36%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 00:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.76%E -3.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 00:49
SportsBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -8.22%E -4.09%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -5.45%E -3.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 00:55
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.91%E -2.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 00:54
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.99%E -3.46%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 23:49
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.99%E -3.46%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 00:59
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.99%E -3.46%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 00:59
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.99%E -3.46%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 00:59
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.08%E -4.14%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 00:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.62%E -4.48%K -10.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 00:39
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.62%E -4.48%K -10.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 00:39
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-02-28 00:59
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-02-28 00:59
Novig◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%1.2%2026-02-28 00:59
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-02-28 00:59
BetOpenly◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-02-28 00:54