Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Idaho Vandals v Sacramento St Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Idaho Vandals (Local)

Prediction 71.57%1.40fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -5.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%71.49%71.64%72.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.341.341.3778.13%74.72%74.63%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento St Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 28.43%3.52fair odd
EV +0.910%
Edge +0.256%
Kelly +0.357%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.10%28.51%28.36%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.253.5533.33%30.77%30.77%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Idaho Vandals (Local): 71.57%; Sacramento St Hornets (Visit): 28.43%. For Sacramento St Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.910%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +0.910%E +0.256%K +0.357%G +0.003%3.9%2026-03-08 02:36
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -5.52%E -4.18%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV +0.626%E +0.177%K +0.246%G +0.002%4.0%2026-03-08 02:49
Everygame🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.09%E -3.05%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.560%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 02:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -8.38%E -6.55%K -29.94%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -2.22%E -0.644%K -0.909%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 02:39
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.09%E -3.05%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.35%E -0.986%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 02:49
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.09%E -3.05%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.35%E -0.986%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 02:39
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.81%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.35%E -0.986%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 02:39
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.81%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.35%E -0.986%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 02:38
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.81%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.35%E -0.986%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 02:39
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.81%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.35%E -0.986%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 02:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.81%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.35%E -0.986%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 02:39
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.35%E -0.986%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 02:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.09%E -3.05%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.21%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.09%E -3.05%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.21%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:34
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.81%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 02:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.81%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 02:55
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.81%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:35
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.81%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:34
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.37%E -2.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 02:34
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:39
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:39
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.62%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:39
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.04%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 02:50
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV -4.81%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -9.61%E -3.02%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 16:49
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.81%E -3.61%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 02:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -1.94%E -1.42%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -1.94%E -1.42%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:14
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -1.94%E -1.42%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 01:15
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 01:15
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 01:15
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 01:14
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 01:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 01:14
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 01:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 01:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 01:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 02:39
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.95%E -5.35%K -23.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 02:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -13.30%E -4.36%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 07:29
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.66%E -1.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.72%E -4.91%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.37I 72.99%NM 72.92%3.69I 27.10%NM 27.08%0.1%2026-03-08 02:50
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-08 02:39
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-03-08 02:39
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.34%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.66%2.4%2026-03-08 02:55