Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Idaho Vandals v N Colorado Bears

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Idaho Vandals (Local)

Prediction 55.76%1.79fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.738%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.77%55.76%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.46%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

N Colorado Bears (Visit)

Prediction 44.24%2.26fair odd
EV -0.459%
Edge -0.204%
Kelly -0.367%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%44.23%44.24%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.142.122.2548.08%46.83%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Idaho Vandals (Local): 55.76%; N Colorado Bears (Visit): 44.24%. For N Colorado Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -0.459%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.31%E -0.738%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 20:29
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.31%E -0.738%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.10%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 19:29
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.98%E -1.71%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 19:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.98%E -1.71%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.98%E -1.71%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.98%E -1.71%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.10%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 20:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.54%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:50
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.54%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.54%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:49
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.54%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.54%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:49
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.54%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:50
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.54%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.54%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:49
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.54%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.54%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:49
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.54%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.10%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.54%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.10%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:00
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.09%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.10%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 20:49
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.67%E -1.21%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:00
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.67%E -1.21%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:14
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.56%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 20:54
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:04
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.33%E -2.49%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -7.98%E -3.84%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 20:49
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.67%E -1.21%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.21%E -3.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.44%E -2.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:05
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 19:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.77%E -3.41%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.459%E -0.204%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 15:30
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.77%E -3.41%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.459%E -0.204%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 19:19
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.77%E -3.41%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.56%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.32%E -3.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 19:19
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.32%E -3.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 19:19
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.32%E -3.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.98%E -3.84%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 19:59
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.32%E -3.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.98%E -3.84%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.88%E -4.12%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.65%E -3.15%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 20:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.88%E -4.12%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.10%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 19:59
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.88%E -4.12%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.10%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 20:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.00%E -4.85%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.10%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 19:19
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.00%E -4.85%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.10%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 19:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49%-0.0%2026-02-28 20:14
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-02-28 20:09
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-02-28 20:49
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 55.08%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.92%2.6%2026-02-28 20:49