Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.80
assuming max odds 2.21
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Idaho State Bengals (Local): 55.74%; Weber State Wildcats (Visit): 44.26%. For Idaho State Bengals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.333%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.333%E +0.185%K +0.416%G +0.001% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.34%E -0.757%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 22:48 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 22:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 22:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.13%E -2.40%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.51%E -1.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.13%E -2.40%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.51%E -1.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.13%E -2.40%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.63%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.63%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.19%E -0.989%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.80%E -3.43%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.51%E -1.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.03%E -4.87%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.03%E -4.87%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.03%E -4.87%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.03%E -4.87%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.03%E -4.87%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44% | 0.0% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 22:53 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.7% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |