Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Idaho State Bengals v Montana St Bobcats

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Idaho State Bengals (Local)

Prediction 46.16%2.17fair odd
EV -0.747%
Edge -0.347%
Kelly -0.649%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.42%46.20%46.38%49.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.062.102.1552.36%48.47%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montana St Bobcats (Visit)

Prediction 53.84%1.86fair odd
EV +0.673%
Edge +0.360%
Kelly +0.773%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.66%53.80%53.62%55.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.761.741.8759.52%56.87%57.47%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Idaho State Bengals (Local): 46.16%; Montana St Bobcats (Visit): 53.84%. For Montana St Bobcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.673%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -11.36%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV +0.673%E +0.360%K +0.773%G +0.005%5.6%2026-02-21 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.59%E -4.34%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.404%E -0.218%K -0.475%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -7.21%E -3.59%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -1.48%E -0.809%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 22:55
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.48%E -0.809%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 22:55
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.48%E -0.809%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 22:55
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -9.52%E -4.86%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -1.48%E -0.809%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 22:55
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 22:55
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 22:55
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 22:55
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 22:55
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.06%E -1.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.71%E -2.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -1.67%E -0.784%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -8.59%E -4.34%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 22:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.747%E -0.347%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 22:54
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.747%E -0.347%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 20:31
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.747%E -0.347%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:20
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:20
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:20
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:20
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.06%E -1.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.06%E -1.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:40
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.06%E -1.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:40
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.06%E -1.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.86%E -3.97%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.06%E -1.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.86%E -3.97%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.06%E -1.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.86%E -3.97%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 22:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.06%E -1.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.86%E -3.97%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 22:55
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.06%E -1.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.86%E -3.97%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 22:55
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.86%E -3.97%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 22:55
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.86%E -3.97%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 22:55
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.86%E -3.97%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.86%E -3.97%K -9.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 22:55
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.06%E -1.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.40%E -4.30%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 21:40
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.21%E -0.565%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.94%E -4.64%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 22:55
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.94%E -4.64%K -11.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 22:55
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.06%E -1.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.56%E -5.69%K -14.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%-0.0%2026-02-21 22:55
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-02-21 22:55
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-02-21 22:55
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-02-21 22:55
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-02-21 22:55