Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Howard Bison v South Carolina St Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Howard Bison (Local)

Prediction 90.72%1.10fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -41.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.30%90.67%90.75%92.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.051.051.0797.09%95.13%95.24%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Carolina St Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 9.28%10.77fair odd
EV +20.67%
Edge +1.59%
Kelly +1.72%
Growth +0.356%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.34%9.33%9.25%11.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.689.4713.0012.50%10.33%10.55%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Howard Bison (Local): 90.72%; South Carolina St Bulldogs (Visit): 9.28%. For South Carolina St Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.77. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.67%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.356%4.8%2026-03-13 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.77%EV -5.65%E -5.44%K -141.34%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.23%EV +7.67%E +0.662%K +0.724%G +0.056%4.8%2026-03-13 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +2.10%E +0.191%K +0.210%G +0.004%3.4%2026-03-13 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +2.10%E +0.191%K +0.210%G +0.004%3.4%2026-03-13 18:35
Everygame🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.65%E -5.44%K -141.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +2.10%E +0.191%K +0.210%G +0.004%5.2%2026-03-13 15:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.05%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.99%G +0.000%10.79I 9.27%NM 8.95%EV +0.155%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 20:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.05%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.99%G +0.000%10.79I 9.27%NM 8.95%EV +0.155%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 20:20
GTbets🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.02%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.99%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.98%EV -0.216%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 21:59
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.99%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -2.54%E -0.242%K -0.267%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 18:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -4.75%E -4.52%K -94.93%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV -4.86%E -0.474%K -0.525%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 21:59
ReBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.58%EV -4.75%E -4.52%K -94.93%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.42%EV -6.25%E -0.619%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 21:24
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -7.18%E -0.718%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 21:25
Bet Right🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.75%E -4.52%K -94.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.18%E -0.718%K -0.797%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 20:45
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.44%K -141.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.18%E -0.718%K -0.797%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -7.18%E -0.718%K -0.797%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 21:55
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.44%K -141.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.82%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 09:09
Betway🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.44%K -141.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.82%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 22:00
Fliff🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.09%EV -5.65%E -5.44%K -141.34%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.91%EV -12.28%E -1.30%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.75%E -4.52%K -94.93%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -14.14%E -1.53%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 18:34
Neds🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.75%E -4.52%K -94.93%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -14.14%E -1.53%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.75%E -4.52%K -94.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -16.46%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 18:35
1xBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.75%E -4.52%K -94.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -16.46%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 21:59
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.75%E -4.52%K -94.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -16.46%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.75%E -4.52%K -94.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -16.46%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 18:35
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.44%K -141.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.46%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.44%K -141.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.46%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:39
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.93%E -2.74%K -41.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -21.10%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 18:34
BetRivers🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -21.10%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 21:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -21.10%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -21.10%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -21.10%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 20:10
betPARX🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -21.10%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -21.10%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 20:09
PlayUp🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -25.74%E -3.22%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 21:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66%0.1%2026-03-13 21:59
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-03-13 16:40
Polymarket1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.6%2026-03-13 22:00
ProphetX1.07I 93.46%NM 91.49%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.51%2.2%2026-03-13 22:00
Novig1.06I 94.34%NM 91.11%10.87I 9.20%NM 8.89%3.5%2026-03-13 22:00