Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.11
assuming max odds 8.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Howard Bison (Local): 87.02%; North Carolina Central Eagles (Visit): 12.98%. For North Carolina Central Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.70. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.88%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +3.88%E +0.484%K +0.554%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +3.88%E +0.484%K +0.554%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +3.88%E +0.484%K +0.554%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +0.630%E +0.081%K +0.093%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -1.32%E -0.173%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.62%E -0.349%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.62%E -0.349%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.62%E -0.349%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.62%E -0.349%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.62%E -0.349%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -2.62%E -0.349%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -5.86%E -0.809%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -5.86%E -0.809%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.63%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.37%EV -7.42%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 16:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.47%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.29%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%EV -10.41%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.35%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.35%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.35%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.35%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.35%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.35%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.35%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.35%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.35%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.35%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.35%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -12.35%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.12%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.29%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.88%EV -13.00%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.41%E -3.07%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -15.60%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -15.60%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.60%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.60%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.44% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.56% | -0.4% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.99% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 13.01% | -0.0% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 2.4% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |