Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars v Texas A&M Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 22:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars (Local)

Prediction 79.92%1.25fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -7.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.30%79.89%79.83%82.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.191.191.2386.96%83.94%83.68%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas A&M Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 20.08%4.98fair odd
EV +12.43%
Edge +2.22%
Kelly +2.70%
Growth +0.336%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.04%20.11%20.17%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.964.674.705.6025.25%21.39%21.28%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 79.92%; Texas A&M Aggies (Visit): 20.08%. For Texas A&M Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.98. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -8.09%E -7.03%K -53.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +12.43%E +2.22%K +2.70%G +0.336%4.8%2026-03-21 22:02
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.88%EV -3.29%E -2.72%K -15.68%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 19.12%EV +2.80%E +0.546%K +0.679%G +0.019%2.2%2026-03-21 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +0.386%E +0.077%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 21:39
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.386%E +0.077%K +0.097%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 21:59
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV -0.617%E -0.125%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 22:09
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -1.62%E -0.331%K -0.416%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 21:59
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -1.62%E -0.331%K -0.416%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.20%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.80%EV -2.42%E -0.499%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.20%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.80%EV -2.42%E -0.499%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:08
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:04
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 21:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 21:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 21:59
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 21:49
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 21:54
Bovada🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:01
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.09%E -7.03%K -53.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 20:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.80%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.20%EV -4.83%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 22:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 21:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 21:59
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 21:59
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 21:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 21:59
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 21:59
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.29%E -6.28%K -45.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 20:09
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.29%E -6.28%K -45.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 20:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 21:59
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 21:59
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 21:59
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.69%E -4.82%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 21:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.69%E -4.82%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 21:59
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 16:09
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.49%E -5.55%K -38.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 21:59
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.49%E -5.55%K -38.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 16:09
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.49%E -5.55%K -38.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 21:54
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -12.66%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 21:59
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.49%E -2.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -13.67%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:54
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -14.67%E -3.45%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 21:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.09%E -3.41%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -15.68%E -3.73%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 22:05
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -1.70%E -1.38%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -20.49%E -5.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-03-21 22:09
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 81.64%5.38I 18.59%NM 18.36%1.2%2026-03-21 22:09
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-03-21 21:54
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-03-20 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.9%2026-03-21 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.9%2026-03-21 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.9%2026-03-21 22:09
BetOpenly1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%5.38I 18.59%NM 18.24%1.9%2026-03-21 21:49
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%2.2%2026-03-21 22:09