Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.48
assuming max odds 3.05
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 66.75%; Kansas Jayhawks (Visit): 33.25%. For Kansas Jayhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.40%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -7.21%E -5.19%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +1.40%E +0.460%K +0.685%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 01:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.258%E -0.086%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.258%E -0.086%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 01:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.258%E -0.086%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.258%E -0.086%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.258%E -0.086%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.258%E -0.086%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.258%E -0.086%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -8.55%E -6.24%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -0.591%E -0.198%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 01:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.74%EV -9.22%E -6.78%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%EV -0.591%E -0.198%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.54%E -3.18%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.92%E -0.651%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -8.55%E -6.24%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -2.92%E -0.999%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -5.21%E -3.67%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 01:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.88%E -2.69%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 01:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.54%E -3.18%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.54%E -3.18%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.21%E -3.67%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 01:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.21%E -3.67%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.21%E -2.21%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.21%E -2.21%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 01:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.88%E -2.69%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.88%E -2.69%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 20:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.88%E -2.69%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.88%E -2.69%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 20:52 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.88%E -2.69%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 21:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.54%E -3.18%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 01:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.21%E -3.67%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.21%E -3.67%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.88%E -5.71%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 01:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.21%E -0.815%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.88%E -2.69%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 00:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.21%E -3.67%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 01:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 00:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 00:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 21:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 67.40% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.60% | -0.4% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |