Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.22
assuming max odds 4.93
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 79.49%; BYU Cougars (Visit): 20.51%. For BYU Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.13%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.42%EV -4.61%E -3.85%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.58%EV +1.13%E +0.228%K +0.286%G +0.003% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.20%E -5.26%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -1.54%E -0.321%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.80%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.20%EV -1.95%E -0.408%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.61%E -3.85%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.57%E -0.540%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.61%E -3.85%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.57%E -0.540%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.61%E -3.85%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.57%E -0.540%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.61%E -3.85%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.57%E -0.540%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 22:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.61%E -3.85%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.57%E -0.540%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.41%E -4.55%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.57%E -0.540%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 21:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.41%E -4.55%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.57%E -0.540%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.41%E -4.55%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.57%E -0.540%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 21:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.59%E -0.764%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.41%E -4.55%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -3.59%E -0.764%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -4.62%E -0.993%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -4.61%E -3.85%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -4.62%E -0.993%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 19:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.61%E -3.85%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.61%E -3.85%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.03%E -2.48%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.03%E -2.48%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -9.75%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -9.75%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -9.75%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.41%E -4.55%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -9.75%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.20%E -5.26%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.75%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.20%E -5.26%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.75%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.75%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.75%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 21:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -10.77%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -4.61%E -3.85%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -10.77%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -4.61%E -3.85%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -10.77%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.03%E -2.48%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -12.41%E -2.91%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.61%E -3.85%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -12.82%E -3.02%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.36%EV -3.03%E -2.48%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -19.18%E -4.87%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-03-12 22:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.19% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.81% | 1.4% | 2026-03-12 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-03-12 21:20 |