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Houston Cougars v Arizona Wildcats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Cougars (Local)
Prediction 70.06%1.43fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.31%69.94%70.10%71.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.361.361.4076.34%73.58%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Wildcats (Visit)
Prediction 29.94%3.34fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.367%
Kelly -0.527%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%30.06%29.90%32.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.143.203.3035.71%31.84%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 70.06%; Arizona Wildcats (Visit): 29.94%. For Arizona Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -1.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.91%E -1.36%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.91%E -1.36%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -1.91%E -1.36%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -11.69%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -1.91%E -1.36%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -11.69%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.61%E -1.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.01%E -2.93%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.01%E -2.93%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.61%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.01%E -2.93%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 19:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.41%E -0.739%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.41%E -0.739%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 19:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -3.61%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 19:51 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -16.18%E -5.78%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -16.18%E -5.78%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.41%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.21%E -0.367%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.41%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.41%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.41%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.41%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -6.11%E -4.56%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 12:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.11%E -4.56%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.11%E -4.56%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.70%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.81%E -5.12%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.81%E -5.12%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.52%E -5.69%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 19:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.22%E -6.27%K -26.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 71.74% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 28.26% | -1.1% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.25% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.75% | 1.7% | 2026-02-21 19:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |