Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.85
assuming max odds 2.05
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Holy Cross Crusaders (Local): 52.57%; Loyola (MD) Greyhounds (Visit): 47.43%. For Holy Cross Crusaders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -2.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 02:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 15:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.24%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 16:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.95%E -3.93%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -7.48%E -4.25%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.01%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 16:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 15:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94% | 2.2% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |