Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.80
assuming max odds 2.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hofstra Pride (Local): 54.76%; William & Mary Tribe (Visit): 45.24%. For William & Mary Tribe (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -0.478%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.43%E -0.793%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.60%E -7.12%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 00:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.52%E -1.42%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.73%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.73%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 23:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.73%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.19%E -1.49%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 23:37 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 23:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 23:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 00:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 00:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.53%E -4.76%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 23:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.19%E -1.49%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 00:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.634%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.634%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.634%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.634%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.634%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.634%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.38%E -0.634%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 23:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.53%E -4.76%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.53%E -4.76%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.45%E -4.41%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.478%E -0.217%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 23:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.45%E -4.41%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 23:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.83%E -0.845%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 23:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.83%E -0.845%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.83%E -0.845%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.29%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-03-08 23:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 23:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25% | 1.3% | 2026-03-09 00:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 00:20 |