Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.58
assuming max odds 2.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hofstra Pride (Local): 62.95%; Towson Tigers (Visit): 37.05%. For Towson Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.699. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.700, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.023%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.94%E -3.27%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +0.023%E +0.009%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 00:43 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.94%E -3.27%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +0.023%E +0.009%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 00:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.94%E -3.27%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.83%E -0.690%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 00:42 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.94%E -3.27%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -2.94%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 00:47 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.68%E -2.41%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.83%E -4.61%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.57%E -3.71%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.53%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.79%E -1.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.39%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.42%E -1.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.39%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.42%E -1.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.39%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.42%E -1.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.39%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.68%E -2.41%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.39%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 00:42 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -4.31%E -2.84%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -7.76%E -3.12%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.05%E -1.98%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.05%E -1.98%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -4.31%E -2.84%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -10.35%E -4.28%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.69%EV -9.35%E -6.49%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.31%EV -10.35%E -4.28%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.05%E -1.98%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.83%E -4.61%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.83%E -4.61%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -0.532%E -0.337%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -11.83%E -4.97%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.16%E -0.740%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.83%E -4.97%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.16%E -0.740%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.83%E -4.97%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -1.79%E -1.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -11.83%E -4.97%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -1.79%E -1.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -11.83%E -4.97%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -2.42%E -1.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -12.94%E -5.51%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -2.42%E -1.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -12.94%E -5.51%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -4.94%E -3.27%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -14.05%E -6.06%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 39.53% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 60.47% | 65.4% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 51.67% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 48.33% | 91.6% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 51.67% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 48.33% | 91.6% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 51.67% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 48.33% | 91.6% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |